The Record
Every pick the model made in 2026, logged before kickoff and graded in public: wins, losses and pushes. The model picks two things for every game, and they are graded separately: who wins, and who covers the spread.
Straight up
Picking the winner of the game
241-75
76.3% right
Week 6 alone: 39-18.
Against the spread
Picking a side at the Vegas line
174-136-6
56.1% of decided games
Week 6 alone: 33-22-2. 52.4% against the spread breaks even. One season is a small sample.
316 graded picks so far, every one frozen before kickoff. Pushes don't count toward the percentage.
Week by week
| Week | Picks | Straight up | Rate | Spread | Rate |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | 57 | 39-18 | 68% | 33-22-2 | 60% |
| 5 | 56 | 40-16 | 71% | 36-20-0 | 64% |
| 4 | 58 | 42-16 | 72% | 29-28-1 | 51% |
| 3 | 57 | 48-9 | 84% | 33-23-1 | 59% |
| 2 | 49 | 38-11 | 78% | 27-22-0 | 55% |
| 1 | 39 | 34-5 | 87% | 16-21-2 | 43% |
| All | 316 | 241-75 | 76.3% | 174-136-6 | 56.1% |
Every pick
Times are Central. "Vegas" is the line when the pick was logged and "Model" is the model's own line. The spread pick is graded at that Vegas number, even if the line moved later. Win chance is the model's chance that its pick wins the game.
Week 7
59 picks frozen, games not graded yet
| Picking the winner | Against the spread | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game | When (CT) | Pick | Result | Lines at freeze | Pick | Result | Final |
| Delaware at Middle Tennessee | Kickoff Tue 13 Oct, 6:00 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Delaware 51% | Pending | Vegas Delaware -2.5Model Delaware by 0.5 | Middle Tennessee +2.5 | Pending | Awaiting result |
| Florida International at Jacksonville State | Kickoff Tue 13 Oct, 7:00 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Jacksonville State 57% | Pending | Vegas Jacksonville State -3Model Jacksonville State by 2.9 | Florida International +3 | Pending | Awaiting result |
| Kennesaw State at Missouri State | Kickoff Wed 14 Oct, 6:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Kennesaw State 53% | Pending | Vegas Kennesaw State -3Model Kennesaw State by 1.1 | Missouri State +3 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Western Kentucky at Sam Houston | Kickoff Wed 14 Oct, 7:00 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Western Kentucky 57% | Pending | Vegas Western Kentucky -1.5Model Western Kentucky by 2.7 | Western Kentucky -1.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| East Carolina at UAB | Kickoff Thu 15 Oct, 6:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | East Carolina 63% | Pending | Vegas East Carolina -5.5Model East Carolina by 5.5 | UAB +5.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Georgia Southern at Old Dominion | Kickoff Thu 15 Oct, 6:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Georgia Southern 54% | Pending | Vegas Georgia Southern -4Model Georgia Southern by 1.4 | Old Dominion +4 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Colorado State at Texas State | Kickoff Thu 15 Oct, 7:00 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Texas State 83% | Pending | Vegas Texas State -11.5Model Texas State by 15.2 | Texas State -11.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Memphis at Tulane | Kickoff Fri 16 Oct, 6:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Memphis 58% | Pending | Vegas Memphis -6.5Model Memphis by 3.1 | Tulane +6.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| App State at Coastal Carolina | Kickoff Fri 16 Oct, 7:00 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | App State 62% | Pending | Vegas App State -1.5Model App State by 4.8 | App State -1.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Washington at Purdue | Kickoff Fri 16 Oct, 7:00 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Washington 55% | Pending | Vegas Purdue -3Model Washington by 2.1 | Washington +3 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Nebraska at Oregon | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, time TBDFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Oregon 75% | Pending | Vegas Oregon -6.5Model Oregon by 10.8 | Oregon -6.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Wisconsin at UCLA | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, time TBDFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | UCLA 62% | Pending | Vegas UCLA -3Model UCLA by 4.8 | UCLA -3 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Ball State at Bowling Green | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Bowling Green 63% | Pending | Vegas Bowling Green -7.5Model Bowling Green by 5.2 | Ball State +7.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Cincinnati at West Virginia | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Cincinnati 60% | Pending | Vegas West Virginia -1.5Model Cincinnati by 3.9 | Cincinnati +1.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Florida Atlantic at Army | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Army 61% | Pending | Vegas Army -3Model Army by 4.5 | Army -3 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Florida at Texas | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Texas 79% | Pending | Vegas Texas -10Model Texas by 12.7 | Texas -10 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Georgia State at James Madison | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | James Madison 83% | Pending | Vegas James Madison -11.5Model James Madison by 15.1 | James Madison -11.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Kansas at Kansas State | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Kansas State 62% | Pending | Vegas Kansas State -6.5Model Kansas State by 4.7 | Kansas +6.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Mississippi State at LSU | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | LSU 70% | Pending | Vegas LSU -10.5Model LSU by 8.4 | Mississippi State +10.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Northwestern at Michigan State | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Northwestern 70% | Pending | Vegas Northwestern -9.5Model Northwestern by 8.2 | Michigan State +9.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Ohio State at Indiana | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Ohio State 50% | Pending | Vegas Ohio State -4Model Pick'em | Indiana +4 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Pittsburgh at Boston College | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Pittsburgh 71% | Pending | Vegas Pittsburgh -6.5Model Pittsburgh by 9.0 | Pittsburgh -6.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Virginia at SMU | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | SMU 68% | Pending | Vegas SMU -8.5Model SMU by 7.6 | Virginia +8.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Rutgers at Maryland | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 11:30 AMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Maryland 53% | Pending | Vegas Maryland -4.5Model Maryland by 1.3 | Rutgers +4.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Charlotte at Temple | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Temple 88% | Pending | Vegas Temple -22.5Model Temple by 18.7 | Charlotte +22.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Massachusetts at Buffalo | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 12:00 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Buffalo 57% | Pending | Vegas Buffalo -3.5Model Buffalo by 2.6 | Massachusetts +3.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Western Michigan at Central Michigan | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 12:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Western Michigan 67% | Pending | Vegas Western Michigan -7Model Western Michigan by 7.0 | Central Michigan +7 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Akron at Miami (OH) | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Miami (OH) 75% | Pending | Vegas Miami (OH) -10Model Miami (OH) by 11.0 | Miami (OH) -10 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Alabama at Tennessee | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Alabama 59% | Pending | Vegas Alabama -7Model Alabama by 3.7 | Tennessee +7 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Arizona State at Texas Tech | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Texas Tech 89% | Pending | Vegas Texas Tech -13.5Model Texas Tech by 19.6 | Texas Tech -13.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Auburn at Georgia | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Georgia 91% | Pending | Vegas Georgia -18.5Model Georgia by 21.8 | Georgia -18.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Virginia Tech 69% | Pending | Vegas Virginia Tech -9.5Model Virginia Tech by 7.9 | Georgia Tech +9.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Missouri at Ole Miss | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Ole Miss 61% | Pending | Vegas Ole Miss -6Model Ole Miss by 4.5 | Missouri +6 | Pending | Not played yet |
| North Carolina at Duke | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Duke 66% | Pending | Vegas Duke -3.5Model Duke by 6.6 | Duke -3.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Northern Illinois at Wyoming | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Wyoming 73% | Pending | Vegas Wyoming -7Model Wyoming by 9.5 | Wyoming -7 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Penn State at Michigan | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Michigan 68% | Pending | Vegas Michigan -6.5Model Michigan by 7.3 | Michigan -6.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Toledo at Eastern Michigan | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Toledo 61% | Pending | Vegas Toledo -4.5Model Toledo by 4.5 | Eastern Michigan +4.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| UNLV at Air Force | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Air Force 56% | Pending | Vegas UNLV -2.5Model Air Force by 2.6 | Air Force +2.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Tulsa at Rice | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 3:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Tulsa 56% | Pending | Vegas Tulsa -3.5Model Tulsa by 2.4 | Rice +3.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Troy at Louisiana | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 4:00 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Louisiana 61% | Pending | Vegas Louisiana -6Model Louisiana by 4.5 | Troy +6 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Washington State at Oregon State | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 5:00 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Oregon State 78% | Pending | Vegas Oregon State -16.5Model Oregon State by 12.1 | Washington State +16.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Arkansas State at Southern Miss | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 6:00 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Arkansas State 50% | Pending | Vegas Arkansas State -7Model Pick'em | Southern Miss +7 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Arkansas at Vanderbilt | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 6:00 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Vanderbilt 69% | Pending | Vegas Vanderbilt -6.5Model Vanderbilt by 8.0 | Vanderbilt -6.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Florida State at Miami | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 6:00 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Miami 92% | Pending | Vegas Miami -21Model Miami by 22.1 | Miami -21 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Kent State at South Florida | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 6:00 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | South Florida 89% | Pending | Vegas South Florida -19.5Model South Florida by 19.6 | South Florida -19.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Nevada at North Dakota State | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 6:00 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | North Dakota State 74% | Pending | Vegas North Dakota State -15.5Model North Dakota State by 10.1 | Nevada +15.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| TCU at Baylor | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 6:00 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Baylor 64% | Pending | Vegas Baylor -6.5Model Baylor by 5.6 | TCU +6.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Kentucky at Oklahoma | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 6:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Oklahoma 70% | Pending | Vegas Oklahoma -6.5Model Oklahoma by 8.4 | Oklahoma -6.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Louisville at Syracuse | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 6:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Louisville 67% | Pending | Vegas Louisville -12.5Model Louisville by 7.2 | Syracuse +12.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Notre Dame at BYU | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 6:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Notre Dame 54% | Pending | Vegas Notre Dame -11.5Model Notre Dame by 1.6 | BYU +11.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Oklahoma State at Houston | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 6:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Houston 74% | Pending | Vegas Houston -4.5Model Houston by 10.4 | Houston -4.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Louisiana Tech at UL Monroe | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 7:00 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Louisiana Tech 81% | Pending | Vegas Louisiana Tech -14.5Model Louisiana Tech by 14.2 | UL Monroe +14.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Navy at UTSA | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 7:00 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | UTSA 76% | Pending | Vegas UTSA -6.5Model UTSA by 11.3 | UTSA -6.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| San José State at UTEP | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 8:00 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | San José State 64% | Pending | Vegas San José State -9.5Model San José State by 5.9 | UTEP +9.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Ohio at Sacramento State | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 9:00 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Ohio 72% | Pending | Vegas Ohio -13.5Model Ohio by 9.2 | Sacramento State +13.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Utah at Colorado | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 9:15 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Utah 88% | Pending | Vegas Utah -16.5Model Utah by 18.4 | Utah -16.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Fresno State at San Diego State | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 9:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Fresno State 68% | Pending | Vegas Fresno State -8.5Model Fresno State by 7.5 | San Diego State +8.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| New Mexico at Hawai'i | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 9:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | New Mexico 79% | Pending | Vegas New Mexico -15.5Model New Mexico by 13.1 | Hawai'i +15.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
| Wake Forest at California | Kickoff Sat 17 Oct, 9:30 PMFrozen Sun 11 Oct, 1:51 PM | Wake Forest 74% | Pending | Vegas Wake Forest -9.5Model Wake Forest by 10.4 | Wake Forest -9.5 | Pending | Not played yet |
Week 6
Straight up39-18Spread33-22-2
| Picking the winner | Against the spread | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game | When (CT) | Pick | Result | Lines at freeze | Pick | Result | Final |
| Southern Miss at Troy | Kickoff Tue 6 Oct, 7:00 PMFrozen Fri 2 Oct, 11:31 AM | Troy 61% | W | Vegas Troy -9.5Model Troy by 4.5 | Southern Miss +9.5 | L | Southern Miss 34 - 55 Troy |
| Jacksonville State at Kennesaw State | Kickoff Wed 7 Oct, 6:00 PMFrozen Fri 2 Oct, 11:31 AM | Jacksonville State 63% | W | Vegas Jacksonville State -2.5Model Jacksonville State by 5.2 | Jacksonville State -2.5 | L | Jacksonville State 27 - 26 Kennesaw State |
| Missouri State at Western Kentucky | Kickoff Thu 8 Oct, 6:00 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Western Kentucky 60% | W | Vegas Western Kentucky -1.5Model Western Kentucky by 4.0 | Western Kentucky -1.5 | W | Missouri State 13 - 34 Western Kentucky |
| Sam Houston at Liberty | Kickoff Thu 8 Oct, 6:00 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Liberty 85% | W | Vegas Liberty -13.5Model Liberty by 16.4 | Liberty -13.5 | W | Sam Houston 3 - 35 Liberty |
| South Alabama at Arkansas State | Kickoff Thu 8 Oct, 6:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Arkansas State 54% | L | Vegas Arkansas State -3Model Arkansas State by 1.5 | South Alabama +3 | W | South Alabama 56 - 49 Arkansas State |
| South Florida at UTSA | Kickoff Thu 8 Oct, 6:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | UTSA 56% | W | Vegas UTSA -7Model UTSA by 2.5 | South Florida +7 | Push | South Florida 24 - 31 UTSA |
| Florida State at Louisville | Kickoff Fri 9 Oct, 6:00 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Florida State 53% | L | Vegas Louisville -3.5Model Florida State by 1.2 | Florida State +3.5 | L | Florida State 20 - 44 Louisville |
| Iowa at Washington | Kickoff Fri 9 Oct, 8:00 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Washington 52% | L | Vegas Washington -3Model Washington by 0.8 | Iowa +3 | W | Iowa 41 - 24 Washington |
| Washington State at Utah State | Kickoff Fri 9 Oct, 8:00 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Utah State 55% | W | Vegas Utah State -5.5Model Utah State by 2.2 | Washington State +5.5 | W | Washington State 16 - 17 Utah State |
| Wyoming at San José State | Kickoff Fri 9 Oct, 8:00 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | San José State 60% | L | Vegas San José State -6Model San José State by 3.9 | Wyoming +6 | W | Wyoming 16 - 13 San José State |
| Iowa State at BYU | Kickoff Fri 9 Oct, 9:15 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | BYU 83% | W | Vegas BYU -10Model BYU by 15.5 | BYU -10 | W | Iowa State 10 - 24 BYU |
| Arizona at West Virginia | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Arizona 71% | W | Vegas Arizona -3Model Arizona by 8.9 | Arizona -3 | W | Arizona 52 - 31 West Virginia |
| Indiana at Nebraska | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Indiana 75% | W | Vegas Indiana -7.5Model Indiana by 11.0 | Indiana -7.5 | L | Indiana 20 - 17 Nebraska |
| North Carolina at Pittsburgh | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Pittsburgh 73% | L | Vegas Pittsburgh -4Model Pittsburgh by 9.5 | Pittsburgh -4 | L | North Carolina 21 - 17 Pittsburgh |
| Sacramento State at Bowling Green | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Bowling Green 59% | W | Vegas Bowling Green -7.5Model Bowling Green by 3.8 | Sacramento State +7.5 | L | Sacramento State 10 - 38 Bowling Green |
| Texas A&M at Missouri | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Missouri 61% | W | Vegas Missouri -3.5Model Missouri by 4.2 | Missouri -3.5 | W | Texas A&M 6 - 27 Missouri |
| Tulane at Army | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Army 57% | W | Vegas Army -3Model Army by 2.9 | Tulane +3 | Push | Tulane 17 - 20 Army |
| UCF at Oklahoma State | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Oklahoma State 52% | W | Vegas Oklahoma State -10.5Model Oklahoma State by 0.7 | UCF +10.5 | L | UCF 28 - 42 Oklahoma State |
| Wake Forest at NC State | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Wake Forest 55% | W | Vegas Wake Forest -3.5Model Wake Forest by 2.2 | NC State +3.5 | L | Wake Forest 38 - 14 NC State |
| Ball State at Northwestern | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 11:30 AMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Northwestern 97% | W | Vegas Northwestern -36.5Model Northwestern by 30.7 | Ball State +36.5 | W | Ball State 14 - 45 Northwestern |
| South Carolina at Florida | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 11:45 AMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Florida 67% | L | Vegas Florida -11.5Model Florida by 7.1 | South Carolina +11.5 | W | South Carolina 38 - 19 Florida |
| Old Dominion at App State | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 12:00 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | App State 71% | L | Vegas App State -9.5Model App State by 9.0 | Old Dominion +9.5 | W | Old Dominion 10 - 3 App State |
| Rice at East Carolina | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 12:00 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | East Carolina 78% | W | Vegas East Carolina -10Model East Carolina by 12.4 | East Carolina -10 | W | Rice 12 - 28 East Carolina |
| Miami (OH) at Massachusetts | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 1:00 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Miami (OH) 51% | W | Vegas Miami (OH) -2.5Model Miami (OH) by 0.3 | Massachusetts +2.5 | W | Miami (OH) 20 - 19 Massachusetts |
| Buffalo at Toledo | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Toledo 86% | L | Vegas Toledo -21Model Toledo by 17.5 | Buffalo +21 | W | Buffalo 23 - 8 Toledo |
| Central Michigan at Ohio | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Ohio 64% | W | Vegas Ohio -3Model Ohio by 5.7 | Ohio -3 | W | Central Michigan 14 - 31 Ohio |
| Charlotte at North Texas | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | North Texas 95% | W | Vegas North Texas -28.5Model North Texas by 26.7 | Charlotte +28.5 | L | Charlotte 10 - 50 North Texas |
| Duke at Georgia Tech | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Duke 68% | L | Vegas Duke -6.5Model Duke by 7.6 | Duke -6.5 | L | Duke 25 - 28 Georgia Tech |
| Eastern Michigan at Akron | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Eastern Michigan 63% | W | Vegas Eastern Michigan -7Model Eastern Michigan by 5.4 | Akron +7 | W | Eastern Michigan 25 - 23 Akron |
| Houston at Kansas State | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Kansas State 55% | L | Vegas Kansas State -2.5Model Kansas State by 1.9 | Houston +2.5 | W | Houston 35 - 16 Kansas State |
| Illinois at Michigan State | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Illinois 55% | W | Vegas Illinois -2.5Model Illinois by 1.8 | Michigan State +2.5 | W | Illinois 38 - 37 Michigan State |
| Kent State at Western Michigan | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Western Michigan 83% | W | Vegas Western Michigan -14Model Western Michigan by 15.0 | Western Michigan -14 | W | Kent State 7 - 38 Western Michigan |
| Ole Miss at Vanderbilt | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Ole Miss 63% | W | Vegas Ole Miss -9.5Model Ole Miss by 5.2 | Vanderbilt +9.5 | L | Ole Miss 52 - 17 Vanderbilt |
| Stanford at Notre Dame | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Notre Dame 98% | W | Vegas Notre Dame -38.5Model Notre Dame by 31.4 | Stanford +38.5 | L | Stanford 7 - 58 Notre Dame |
| Texas vs Oklahoma | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Texas 63% | L | Vegas Texas -7.5Model Texas by 5.4 | Oklahoma +7.5 | W | Texas 24 - 27 Oklahoma |
| Tulsa at Navy | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Navy 59% | W | Vegas Navy -2.5Model Navy by 3.6 | Navy -2.5 | W | Tulsa 26 - 34 Navy |
| UCLA at Oregon | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Oregon 83% | L | Vegas Oregon -11.5Model Oregon by 15.4 | Oregon -11.5 | L | UCLA 17 - 15 Oregon |
| Virginia Tech at California | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Virginia Tech 69% | L | Vegas Virginia Tech -10Model Virginia Tech by 8.0 | California +10 | W | Virginia Tech 20 - 25 California |
| UConn at Temple | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 2:45 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Temple 61% | L | Vegas Temple -3.5Model Temple by 4.5 | Temple -3.5 | L | UConn 34 - 20 Temple |
| Maryland at Ohio State | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 3:15 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Ohio State 98% | W | Vegas Ohio State -34.5Model Ohio State by 32.7 | Maryland +34.5 | W | Maryland 16 - 45 Ohio State |
| Tennessee at Arkansas | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 3:15 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Tennessee 77% | W | Vegas Tennessee -13.5Model Tennessee by 11.8 | Arkansas +13.5 | W | Tennessee 24 - 17 Arkansas |
| San Diego State at Oregon State | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 5:00 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Oregon State 66% | W | Vegas Oregon State -15.5Model Oregon State by 6.6 | San Diego State +15.5 | L | San Diego State 14 - 66 Oregon State |
| Coastal Carolina at Marshall | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 6:00 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Marshall 75% | L | Vegas Marshall -3Model Marshall by 10.5 | Marshall -3 | L | Coastal Carolina 27 - 21 Marshall |
| LSU at Kentucky | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 6:00 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | LSU 67% | L | Vegas LSU -8.5Model LSU by 6.9 | Kentucky +8.5 | W | LSU 34 - 35 Kentucky |
| Nevada at UTEP | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 6:00 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Nevada 64% | W | Vegas Nevada -9.5Model Nevada by 5.7 | UTEP +9.5 | L | Nevada 30 - 13 UTEP |
| North Dakota State at UNLV | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 6:00 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | UNLV 50% | W | Vegas North Dakota State -3Model Pick'em | UNLV +3 | W | North Dakota State 7 - 13 UNLV |
| UAB at Memphis | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 6:00 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Memphis 75% | W | Vegas Memphis -14Model Memphis by 10.8 | UAB +14 | L | UAB 13 - 38 Memphis |
| Air Force at Northern Illinois | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 6:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Air Force 61% | W | Vegas Air Force -7.5Model Air Force by 4.3 | Northern Illinois +7.5 | L | Air Force 28 - 7 Northern Illinois |
| Georgia at Alabama | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 6:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Georgia 57% | W | Vegas Alabama -1.5Model Georgia by 2.6 | Georgia +1.5 | W | Georgia 20 - 17 Alabama |
| James Madison at Georgia Southern | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 6:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | James Madison 82% | W | Vegas James Madison -7.5Model James Madison by 14.6 | James Madison -7.5 | L | James Madison 27 - 24 Georgia Southern |
| Louisiana at Louisiana Tech | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 6:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Louisiana 53% | L | Vegas Louisiana Tech -3Model Louisiana by 1.4 | Louisiana +3 | W | Louisiana 31 - 32 Louisiana Tech |
| Syracuse at Virginia | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 6:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Virginia 69% | W | Vegas Virginia -9.5Model Virginia by 7.9 | Syracuse +9.5 | W | Syracuse 25 - 28 Virginia |
| USC at Penn State | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 6:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | USC 52% | W | Vegas Penn State -1.5Model USC by 0.7 | USC +1.5 | W | USC 31 - 23 Penn State |
| Kansas at Utah | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 7:00 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Utah 87% | W | Vegas Utah -15.5Model Utah by 17.8 | Utah -15.5 | W | Kansas 24 - 41 Utah |
| Minnesota at Purdue | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 7:00 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Minnesota 64% | L | Vegas Minnesota -2.5Model Minnesota by 5.8 | Minnesota -2.5 | L | Minnesota 13 - 41 Purdue |
| Boise State at Fresno State | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 9:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Boise State 54% | W | Vegas Boise State -6.5Model Boise State by 1.7 | Fresno State +6.5 | L | Boise State 38 - 31 Fresno State |
| Hawai'i at Arizona State | Kickoff Sat 10 Oct, 9:30 PMFrozen Wed 7 Oct, 8:03 PM | Arizona State 86% | W | Vegas Arizona State -20.5Model Arizona State by 17.1 | Hawai'i +20.5 | W | Hawai'i 12 - 30 Arizona State |
Week 5
Straight up40-16Spread36-20-0
| Picking the winner | Against the spread | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game | When (CT) | Pick | Result | Lines at freeze | Pick | Result | Final |
| Western Kentucky at New Mexico State | Kickoff Thu 1 Oct, 7:00 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Western Kentucky 56% | L | Vegas New Mexico State -1.5Model Western Kentucky by 2.4 | Western Kentucky +1.5 | L | Western Kentucky 13 - 34 New Mexico State |
| North Texas at Tulsa | Kickoff Thu 1 Oct, 8:00 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | North Texas 64% | W | Vegas Tulsa -1.5Model North Texas by 5.9 | North Texas +1.5 | W | North Texas 45 - 44 Tulsa |
| Liberty at Delaware | Kickoff Fri 2 Oct, 6:00 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Liberty 60% | W | Vegas Liberty -7Model Liberty by 4.2 | Delaware +7 | L | Liberty 30 - 14 Delaware |
| Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech | Kickoff Fri 2 Oct, 6:00 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Virginia Tech 57% | L | Vegas Virginia Tech -5.5Model Virginia Tech by 2.6 | Pittsburgh +5.5 | W | Pittsburgh 35 - 33 Virginia Tech |
| Penn State at Northwestern | Kickoff Fri 2 Oct, 7:00 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Penn State 54% | L | Vegas Penn State -3.5Model Penn State by 1.7 | Northwestern +3.5 | W | Penn State 13 - 34 Northwestern |
| Memphis at Charlotte | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 10:00 AMFrozen Fri 2 Oct, 11:31 AM | Memphis 88% | W | Vegas Memphis -20.5Model Memphis by 18.4 | Charlotte +20.5 | L | Memphis 59 - 8 Charlotte |
| Alabama at Mississippi State | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Alabama 68% | W | Vegas Alabama -4.5Model Alabama by 7.7 | Alabama -4.5 | W | Alabama 56 - 23 Mississippi State |
| Boston College at SMU | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | SMU 86% | W | Vegas SMU -21Model SMU by 17.0 | Boston College +21 | W | Boston College 16 - 25 SMU |
| Michigan at Minnesota | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Michigan 65% | L | Vegas Michigan -6.5Model Michigan by 6.1 | Minnesota +6.5 | W | Michigan 14 - 20 Minnesota |
| Middle Tennessee at Kansas | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Fri 2 Oct, 11:31 AM | Kansas 82% | W | Vegas Kansas -19.5Model Kansas by 14.8 | Middle Tennessee +19.5 | L | Middle Tennessee 0 - 55 Kansas |
| Navy at Air Force | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Air Force 62% | W | Vegas Air Force -1.5Model Air Force by 4.8 | Air Force -1.5 | W | Navy 9 - 14 Air Force |
| Notre Dame at North Carolina | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Notre Dame 85% | W | Vegas Notre Dame -21.5Model Notre Dame by 16.4 | North Carolina +21.5 | W | Notre Dame 37 - 26 North Carolina |
| Stanford at Wake Forest | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Wake Forest 77% | W | Vegas Wake Forest -12.5Model Wake Forest by 11.6 | Stanford +12.5 | L | Stanford 3 - 57 Wake Forest |
| Syracuse at UConn | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | UConn 54% | L | Vegas Syracuse -6.5Model UConn by 1.6 | UConn +6.5 | W | Syracuse 42 - 41 UConn |
| UCF at Houston | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Houston 72% | W | Vegas Houston -11.5Model Houston by 9.3 | UCF +11.5 | W | UCF 17 - 27 Houston |
| West Virginia at Iowa State | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 11:00 AMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Iowa State 71% | W | Vegas Iowa State -1.5Model Iowa State by 8.9 | Iowa State -1.5 | W | West Virginia 42 - 45 Iowa State |
| Michigan State at Wisconsin | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 11:30 AMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Wisconsin 66% | W | Vegas Wisconsin -10Model Wisconsin by 6.4 | Michigan State +10 | L | Michigan State 3 - 31 Wisconsin |
| Vanderbilt at Georgia | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 11:45 AMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Georgia 86% | W | Vegas Georgia -24.5Model Georgia by 17.3 | Vanderbilt +24.5 | W | Vanderbilt 14 - 38 Georgia |
| Western Michigan at Buffalo | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 12:00 PMFrozen Fri 2 Oct, 11:31 AM | Western Michigan 66% | W | Vegas Western Michigan -14Model Western Michigan by 6.7 | Buffalo +14 | W | Western Michigan 20 - 17 Buffalo |
| Toledo at Ball State | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 1:00 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Toledo 85% | W | Vegas Toledo -17.5Model Toledo by 16.8 | Ball State +17.5 | W | Toledo 39 - 24 Ball State |
| Akron at Central Michigan | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Central Michigan 65% | W | Vegas Central Michigan -5.5Model Central Michigan by 6.1 | Central Michigan -5.5 | W | Akron 17 - 41 Central Michigan |
| Auburn at Tennessee | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Tennessee 74% | W | Vegas Tennessee -7.5Model Tennessee by 10.4 | Tennessee -7.5 | W | Auburn 14 - 24 Tennessee |
| Bowling Green at Miami (OH) | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Miami (OH) 81% | L | Vegas Miami (OH) -15.5Model Miami (OH) by 14.1 | Bowling Green +15.5 | W | Bowling Green 24 - 20 Miami (OH) |
| California at UNLV | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Fri 2 Oct, 11:31 AM | UNLV 61% | W | Vegas UNLV -2.5Model UNLV by 4.5 | UNLV -2.5 | W | California 31 - 39 UNLV |
| Eastern Michigan at Massachusetts | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Massachusetts 66% | L | Vegas Massachusetts -2.5Model Massachusetts by 6.7 | Massachusetts -2.5 | L | Eastern Michigan 38 - 14 Massachusetts |
| Florida at Missouri | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Florida 52% | L | Vegas Florida -4.5Model Florida by 0.6 | Missouri +4.5 | W | Florida 17 - 45 Missouri |
| Louisville at NC State | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | NC State 54% | W | Vegas Louisville -5.5Model NC State by 1.4 | NC State +5.5 | W | Louisville 28 - 31 NC State |
| Ohio State at Iowa | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Ohio State 75% | W | Vegas Ohio State -14Model Ohio State by 10.8 | Iowa +14 | L | Ohio State 31 - 14 Iowa |
| Ohio at Kent State | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Ohio 71% | W | Vegas Ohio -5.5Model Ohio by 9.0 | Ohio -5.5 | L | Ohio 13 - 10 Kent State |
| Old Dominion at Georgia State | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Georgia State 59% | W | Vegas Old Dominion -1.5Model Georgia State by 3.7 | Georgia State +1.5 | W | Old Dominion 10 - 42 Georgia State |
| Virginia at Florida State | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Virginia 52% | L | Vegas Virginia -3Model Virginia by 0.7 | Florida State +3 | W | Virginia 7 - 38 Florida State |
| Wyoming at North Dakota State | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 2:30 PMFrozen Fri 2 Oct, 11:31 AM | North Dakota State 78% | W | Vegas North Dakota State -17.5Model North Dakota State by 12.5 | Wyoming +17.5 | L | Wyoming 0 - 28 North Dakota State |
| Marshall at James Madison | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 2:45 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | James Madison 90% | W | Vegas James Madison -14Model James Madison by 20.6 | James Madison -14 | W | Marshall 17 - 45 James Madison |
| Maryland at Nebraska | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 3:00 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Nebraska 86% | W | Vegas Nebraska -12.5Model Nebraska by 17.0 | Nebraska -12.5 | W | Maryland 23 - 48 Nebraska |
| UTEP at New Mexico | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 3:00 PMFrozen Fri 2 Oct, 11:31 AM | New Mexico 93% | W | Vegas New Mexico -22.5Model New Mexico by 23.0 | New Mexico -22.5 | W | UTEP 7 - 61 New Mexico |
| Kentucky at South Carolina | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 3:15 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | South Carolina 61% | L | Vegas South Carolina -3.5Model South Carolina by 4.3 | South Carolina -3.5 | L | Kentucky 35 - 34 South Carolina |
| Purdue at Illinois | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 3:15 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Illinois 77% | L | Vegas Illinois -10Model Illinois by 11.8 | Illinois -10 | L | Purdue 24 - 17 Illinois |
| Oregon State at Colorado State | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 5:00 PMFrozen Fri 2 Oct, 11:31 AM | Oregon State 53% | W | Vegas Oregon State -6.5Model Oregon State by 1.1 | Colorado State +6.5 | L | Oregon State 56 - 26 Colorado State |
| Arkansas at Texas A&M | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 6:00 PMFrozen Fri 2 Oct, 11:31 AM | Texas A&M 77% | W | Vegas Texas A&M -14Model Texas A&M by 12.0 | Arkansas +14 | L | Arkansas 7 - 34 Texas A&M |
| BYU at TCU | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 6:00 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | BYU 68% | W | Vegas BYU -6.5Model BYU by 7.4 | BYU -6.5 | W | BYU 17 - 10 TCU |
| Georgia Southern at Coastal Carolina | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 6:00 PMFrozen Fri 2 Oct, 11:31 AM | Georgia Southern 59% | W | Vegas Georgia Southern -2.5Model Georgia Southern by 3.5 | Georgia Southern -2.5 | W | Georgia Southern 31 - 24 Coastal Carolina |
| UL Monroe at South Alabama | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 6:00 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | South Alabama 83% | W | Vegas South Alabama -14.5Model South Alabama by 15.5 | South Alabama -14.5 | W | UL Monroe 35 - 52 South Alabama |
| UTSA at Rice | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 6:00 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | UTSA 74% | W | Vegas UTSA -12.5Model UTSA by 10.3 | Rice +12.5 | W | UTSA 16 - 14 Rice |
| Army at Louisiana Tech | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 6:30 PMFrozen Fri 2 Oct, 11:31 AM | Army 54% | L | Vegas Army -1.5Model Army by 1.6 | Army -1.5 | L | Army 29 - 31 Louisiana Tech |
| Miami at Clemson | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 6:30 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Miami 83% | W | Vegas Miami -17.5Model Miami by 15.5 | Clemson +17.5 | L | Miami 41 - 13 Clemson |
| Temple at South Florida | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 6:30 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | South Florida 76% | L | Vegas South Florida -6.5Model South Florida by 11.3 | South Florida -6.5 | L | Temple 17 - 13 South Florida |
| Texas Tech at Colorado | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 6:30 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Texas Tech 86% | W | Vegas Texas Tech -14.5Model Texas Tech by 17.0 | Texas Tech -14.5 | W | Texas Tech 29 - 7 Colorado |
| Utah State at Boise State | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 6:30 PMFrozen Fri 2 Oct, 11:31 AM | Boise State 83% | W | Vegas Boise State -18.5Model Boise State by 15.3 | Utah State +18.5 | L | Utah State 18 - 37 Boise State |
| Washington at USC | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 6:30 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | USC 65% | W | Vegas USC -9.5Model USC by 6.1 | Washington +9.5 | W | Washington 21 - 25 USC |
| Arkansas State at Louisiana | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 7:00 PMFrozen Fri 2 Oct, 11:31 AM | Louisiana 61% | W | Vegas Louisiana -6.5Model Louisiana by 4.7 | Arkansas State +6.5 | W | Arkansas State 20 - 23 Louisiana |
| Indiana at Rutgers | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 7:00 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Indiana 93% | W | Vegas Indiana -23.5Model Indiana by 23.2 | Rutgers +23.5 | L | Indiana 47 - 15 Rutgers |
| Fresno State at Washington State | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 8:30 PMFrozen Fri 2 Oct, 11:31 AM | Fresno State 53% | W | Vegas Washington State -1.5Model Fresno State by 1.4 | Fresno State +1.5 | W | Fresno State 26 - 6 Washington State |
| Baylor at Arizona State | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 9:30 PMFrozen Fri 2 Oct, 11:31 AM | Arizona State 57% | L | Vegas Arizona State -3.5Model Arizona State by 3.0 | Baylor +3.5 | W | Baylor 55 - 19 Arizona State |
| Texas State at San Diego State | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 9:30 PMFrozen Fri 2 Oct, 11:31 AM | Texas State 57% | L | Vegas Texas State -8.5Model Texas State by 2.7 | San Diego State +8.5 | W | Texas State 29 - 31 San Diego State |
| Cincinnati at Arizona | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 10:00 PMFrozen Sun 27 Sep, 11:36 AM | Arizona 72% | W | Vegas Arizona -8.5Model Arizona by 9.5 | Arizona -8.5 | W | Cincinnati 7 - 34 Arizona |
| San José State at Hawai'i | Kickoff Sat 3 Oct, 10:59 PMFrozen Fri 2 Oct, 11:31 AM | Hawai'i 63% | L | Vegas Hawai'i -3Model Hawai'i by 5.2 | Hawai'i -3 | L | San José State 20 - 16 Hawai'i |
Week 4
Straight up42-16Spread29-28-1
| Picking the winner | Against the spread | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game | When (CT) | Pick | Result | Lines at freeze | Pick | Result | Final |
| Liberty at Coastal Carolina | Kickoff Thu 24 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Liberty 57% | W | Vegas Liberty -2.5Model Liberty by 2.8 | Liberty -2.5 | W | Liberty 34 - 17 Coastal Carolina |
| Army at Temple | Kickoff Fri 25 Sep, 3:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Army 55% | W | Vegas Army -3Model Army by 1.9 | Temple +3 | L | Army 21 - 17 Temple |
| Navy at UAB | Kickoff Fri 25 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Navy 51% | L | Vegas Navy -7Model Navy by 0.4 | UAB +7 | W | Navy 20 - 24 UAB |
| Northwestern at Indiana | Kickoff Fri 25 Sep, 7:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Indiana 91% | W | Vegas Indiana -21Model Indiana by 21.5 | Indiana -21 | L | Northwestern 23 - 29 Indiana |
| Clemson at California | Kickoff Fri 25 Sep, 9:30 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Clemson 55% | W | Vegas Clemson -1.5Model Clemson by 1.9 | Clemson -1.5 | W | Clemson 24 - 10 California |
| Ball State at Kent State | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Ball State 50% | L | Vegas Kent State -3Model Pick'em | Ball State +3 | L | Ball State 13 - 26 Kent State |
| Colorado State at UTSA | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | UTSA 70% | W | Vegas UTSA -13.5Model UTSA by 8.1 | Colorado State +13.5 | L | Colorado State 45 - 59 UTSA |
| Colorado at Baylor | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Baylor 75% | W | Vegas Baylor -9.5Model Baylor by 10.9 | Baylor -9.5 | W | Colorado 13 - 23 Baylor |
| Illinois at Ohio State | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Ohio State 93% | W | Vegas Ohio State -27.5Model Ohio State by 23.5 | Illinois +27.5 | W | Illinois 19 - 42 Ohio State |
| Sam Houston at Texas Tech | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Texas Tech 98% | W | Vegas Texas Tech -34.5Model Texas Tech by 32.7 | Sam Houston +34.5 | L | Sam Houston 14 - 49 Texas Tech |
| San Diego State at Toledo | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Toledo 60% | W | Vegas Toledo -3Model Toledo by 4.2 | Toledo -3 | W | San Diego State 16 - 41 Toledo |
| Texas at Tennessee | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Tennessee 52% | L | Vegas Texas -4Model Tennessee by 0.9 | Tennessee +4 | W | Texas 20 - 17 Tennessee |
| UNLV at Akron | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | UNLV 62% | W | Vegas UNLV -13.5Model UNLV by 4.8 | Akron +13.5 | L | UNLV 38 - 10 Akron |
| Virginia Tech at Boston College | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Virginia Tech 74% | W | Vegas Virginia Tech -14Model Virginia Tech by 10.2 | Boston College +14 | W | Virginia Tech 21 - 14 Boston College |
| Wake Forest at Louisville | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Louisville 65% | L | Vegas Louisville -13.5Model Louisville by 6.1 | Wake Forest +13.5 | W | Wake Forest 30 - 27 Louisville |
| South Alabama at Kentucky | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 11:45 AMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Kentucky 80% | W | Vegas Kentucky -20.5Model Kentucky by 13.6 | South Alabama +20.5 | L | South Alabama 21 - 45 Kentucky |
| UCLA at Maryland | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 12:30 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Maryland 60% | L | Vegas UCLA -1.5Model Maryland by 4.1 | Maryland +1.5 | L | UCLA 54 - 3 Maryland |
| Northern Illinois at Georgia State | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 1:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Georgia State 74% | W | Vegas Georgia State -10.5Model Georgia State by 10.1 | Northern Illinois +10.5 | L | Northern Illinois 14 - 35 Georgia State |
| Notre Dame at Purdue | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 1:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Notre Dame 89% | W | Vegas Notre Dame -27.5Model Notre Dame by 20.0 | Purdue +27.5 | L | Notre Dame 49 - 10 Purdue |
| Hawai'i at Wyoming | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 2:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Wyoming 54% | W | Vegas Hawai'i -3.5Model Wyoming by 1.6 | Wyoming +3.5 | W | Hawai'i 10 - 27 Wyoming |
| Boise State at Western Michigan | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Boise State 54% | W | Vegas Boise State -7Model Boise State by 1.5 | Western Michigan +7 | L | Boise State 32 - 7 Western Michigan |
| Iowa at Michigan | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Michigan 54% | L | Vegas Michigan -5.5Model Michigan by 1.5 | Iowa +5.5 | W | Iowa 20 - 19 Michigan |
| New Mexico at New Mexico State | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | New Mexico 79% | W | Vegas New Mexico -11.5Model New Mexico by 12.6 | New Mexico -11.5 | W | New Mexico 42 - 18 New Mexico State |
| Oklahoma at Georgia | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Georgia 83% | W | Vegas Georgia -14Model Georgia by 15.0 | Georgia -14 | W | Oklahoma 13 - 41 Georgia |
| Ole Miss at Florida | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Ole Miss 55% | L | Vegas Florida -3.5Model Ole Miss by 2.1 | Ole Miss +3.5 | L | Ole Miss 28 - 52 Florida |
| TCU at UCF | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | TCU 52% | L | Vegas TCU -3Model TCU by 0.8 | UCF +3 | W | TCU 13 - 21 UCF |
| UConn at Miami (OH) | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Miami (OH) 52% | W | Vegas Miami (OH) -3.5Model Miami (OH) by 0.7 | UConn +3.5 | W | UConn 21 - 24 Miami (OH) |
| Utah at Iowa State | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Utah 67% | W | Vegas Utah -8.5Model Utah by 7.1 | Iowa State +8.5 | L | Utah 31 - 17 Iowa State |
| Houston at Georgia Southern | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 3:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Houston 78% | W | Vegas Houston -18.5Model Houston by 12.5 | Georgia Southern +18.5 | W | Houston 42 - 28 Georgia Southern |
| Vanderbilt at Auburn | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 3:15 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Vanderbilt 57% | L | Vegas Auburn -9.5Model Vanderbilt by 2.7 | Vanderbilt +9.5 | W | Vanderbilt 15 - 21 Auburn |
| Nebraska at Michigan State | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 4:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Nebraska 64% | W | Vegas Nebraska -5.5Model Nebraska by 5.5 | Nebraska -5.5 | W | Nebraska 31 - 13 Michigan State |
| South Florida at Bowling Green | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 4:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | South Florida 88% | W | Vegas South Florida -17.5Model South Florida by 18.9 | South Florida -17.5 | L | South Florida 14 - 6 Bowling Green |
| Wisconsin at Penn State | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 4:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Penn State 81% | L | Vegas Penn State -10Model Penn State by 14.0 | Penn State -10 | L | Wisconsin 24 - 20 Penn State |
| Delaware at Virginia | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 5:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Virginia 84% | W | Vegas Virginia -19.5Model Virginia by 15.7 | Delaware +19.5 | L | Delaware 3 - 42 Virginia |
| James Madison at Old Dominion | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 5:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | James Madison 76% | W | Vegas James Madison -6Model James Madison by 11.2 | James Madison -6 | W | James Madison 46 - 20 Old Dominion |
| Central Michigan at Miami | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 5:30 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Miami 99% | W | Vegas Miami -41.5Model Miami by 37.4 | Central Michigan +41.5 | L | Central Michigan 3 - 52 Miami |
| Louisiana at Charlotte | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 5:30 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Louisiana 72% | W | Vegas Louisiana -10Model Louisiana by 9.1 | Charlotte +10 | L | Louisiana 34 - 7 Charlotte |
| Kansas State at Cincinnati | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Kansas State 63% | L | Vegas Kansas State -6.5Model Kansas State by 5.4 | Cincinnati +6.5 | W | Kansas State 26 - 31 Cincinnati |
| Kennesaw State at Arkansas State | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Arkansas State 64% | W | Vegas Arkansas State -6.5Model Arkansas State by 5.6 | Kennesaw State +6.5 | W | Kennesaw State 14 - 17 Arkansas State |
| Middle Tennessee at Jacksonville State | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Jacksonville State 62% | W | Vegas Jacksonville State -7Model Jacksonville State by 5.1 | Middle Tennessee +7 | L | Middle Tennessee 13 - 23 Jacksonville State |
| Oklahoma State at West Virginia | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | West Virginia 75% | L | Vegas West Virginia -1.5Model West Virginia by 10.6 | West Virginia -1.5 | L | Oklahoma State 41 - 24 West Virginia |
| South Carolina at Alabama | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Alabama 78% | W | Vegas Alabama -12.5Model Alabama by 12.2 | South Carolina +12.5 | L | South Carolina 18 - 49 Alabama |
| Southern Miss at Tulane | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Tulane 77% | W | Vegas Tulane -18.5Model Tulane by 11.5 | Southern Miss +18.5 | W | Southern Miss 21 - 24 Tulane |
| App State at NC State | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | NC State 80% | W | Vegas NC State -14Model NC State by 13.4 | App State +14 | W | App State 31 - 41 NC State |
| Arizona at Washington State | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Arizona 68% | W | Vegas Arizona -10Model Arizona by 7.3 | Washington State +10 | Push | Arizona 34 - 24 Washington State |
| Oregon at USC | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Oregon 54% | W | Vegas Oregon -3Model Oregon by 1.4 | USC +3 | L | Oregon 41 - 27 USC |
| Texas A&M at LSU | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | LSU 51% | W | Vegas LSU -9.5Model LSU by 0.3 | Texas A&M +9.5 | L | Texas A&M 6 - 35 LSU |
| Troy at Utah State | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Utah State 64% | W | Vegas Utah State -3Model Utah State by 5.8 | Utah State -3 | W | Troy 10 - 21 Utah State |
| Missouri at Mississippi State | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 6:45 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Mississippi State 50% | W | Vegas Mississippi State -6.5Model Pick'em | Missouri +6.5 | L | Missouri 24 - 31 Mississippi State |
| Florida Atlantic at UL Monroe | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 7:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Florida Atlantic 68% | W | Vegas Florida Atlantic -13.5Model Florida Atlantic by 7.3 | UL Monroe +13.5 | L | Florida Atlantic 45 - 17 UL Monroe |
| Tulsa at Arkansas | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 7:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Arkansas 68% | W | Vegas Arkansas -7Model Arkansas by 7.6 | Arkansas -7 | W | Tulsa 6 - 34 Arkansas |
| Massachusetts at Sacramento State | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 8:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Sacramento State 52% | L | Vegas Massachusetts -4Model Sacramento State by 1.0 | Sacramento State +4 | L | Massachusetts 35 - 6 Sacramento State |
| Missouri State at SMU | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 8:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | SMU 94% | W | Vegas SMU -34.5Model SMU by 24.7 | Missouri State +34.5 | W | Missouri State 24 - 34 SMU |
| Oregon State at UTEP | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 8:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Oregon State 64% | W | Vegas Oregon State -10.5Model Oregon State by 5.8 | UTEP +10.5 | L | Oregon State 33 - 7 UTEP |
| Rice at Fresno State | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 9:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Fresno State 88% | W | Vegas Fresno State -13.5Model Fresno State by 19.0 | Fresno State -13.5 | W | Rice 24 - 38 Fresno State |
| Air Force at Nevada | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 9:30 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Nevada 57% | L | Vegas Air Force -5.5Model Nevada by 2.8 | Nevada +5.5 | W | Air Force 36 - 33 Nevada |
| Georgia Tech at Stanford | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 9:30 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Georgia Tech 55% | L | Vegas Georgia Tech -3.5Model Georgia Tech by 2.1 | Stanford +3.5 | W | Georgia Tech 27 - 34 Stanford |
| Minnesota at Washington | Kickoff Sat 26 Sep, 10:00 PMFrozen Thu 24 Sep, 12:02 PM | Washington 74% | L | Vegas Washington -10Model Washington by 10.1 | Washington -10 | L | Minnesota 27 - 24 Washington |
Week 3
Straight up48-9Spread33-23-1
| Picking the winner | Against the spread | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game | When (CT) | Pick | Result | Lines at freeze | Pick | Result | Final |
| Syracuse at Pittsburgh | Kickoff Thu 17 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Pittsburgh 81% | W | Vegas Pittsburgh -10.5Model Pittsburgh by 14.2 | Pittsburgh -10.5 | W | Syracuse 13 - 27 Pittsburgh |
| Miami at Wake Forest | Kickoff Fri 18 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Miami 83% | W | Vegas Miami -20.5Model Miami by 15.5 | Wake Forest +20.5 | W | Miami 33 - 20 Wake Forest |
| Houston at Texas Tech | Kickoff Fri 18 Sep, 7:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Texas Tech 75% | W | Vegas Texas Tech -7.5Model Texas Tech by 10.9 | Texas Tech -7.5 | L | Houston 26 - 28 Texas Tech |
| Coastal Carolina at Delaware | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 10:30 AMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Delaware 65% | W | Vegas Delaware -4Model Delaware by 6.0 | Delaware -4 | W | Coastal Carolina 14 - 22 Delaware |
| Akron at Minnesota | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Minnesota 85% | W | Vegas Minnesota -23.5Model Minnesota by 16.3 | Akron +23.5 | L | Akron 7 - 41 Minnesota |
| Arizona State vs Kansas | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Kansas 53% | L | Vegas Arizona State -5.5Model Kansas by 1.1 | Kansas +5.5 | L | Arizona State 24 - 17 Kansas |
| Bowling Green at Iowa State | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Iowa State 95% | W | Vegas Iowa State -24.5Model Iowa State by 25.5 | Iowa State -24.5 | W | Bowling Green 7 - 55 Iowa State |
| Buffalo at Penn State | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Penn State 96% | W | Vegas Penn State -40.5Model Penn State by 27.3 | Buffalo +40.5 | L | Buffalo 13 - 55 Penn State |
| Georgia at Arkansas | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Georgia 91% | W | Vegas Georgia -24.5Model Georgia by 21.8 | Arkansas +24.5 | L | Georgia 45 - 17 Arkansas |
| Kent State at Ohio State | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Ohio State 100% | W | Vegas Ohio State -52.5Model Ohio State by 45.3 | Kent State +52.5 | L | Kent State 3 - 59 Ohio State |
| North Carolina at Clemson | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Clemson 57% | W | Vegas Clemson -3Model Clemson by 2.9 | North Carolina +3 | L | North Carolina 20 - 28 Clemson |
| North Texas at Texas State | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Texas State 56% | W | Vegas Texas State -3Model Texas State by 2.4 | North Texas +3 | L | North Texas 35 - 49 Texas State |
| Tulane at Kansas State | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Kansas State 83% | W | Vegas Kansas State -20.5Model Kansas State by 15.3 | Tulane +20.5 | W | Tulane 20 - 31 Kansas State |
| Eastern Michigan at Wisconsin | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 11:30 AMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Wisconsin 85% | W | Vegas Wisconsin -23.5Model Wisconsin by 16.7 | Eastern Michigan +23.5 | L | Eastern Michigan 10 - 54 Wisconsin |
| NC State at Vanderbilt | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 11:45 AMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Vanderbilt 65% | W | Vegas Vanderbilt -3Model Vanderbilt by 6.3 | Vanderbilt -3 | W | NC State 31 - 35 Vanderbilt |
| Wyoming at Central Michigan | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 12:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Central Michigan 62% | W | Vegas Wyoming -1.5Model Central Michigan by 4.9 | Central Michigan +1.5 | W | Wyoming 10 - 24 Central Michigan |
| Temple at Toledo | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 2:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Toledo 76% | W | Vegas Toledo -6Model Toledo by 11.2 | Toledo -6 | L | Temple 48 - 49 Toledo |
| Florida State at Alabama | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Alabama 84% | W | Vegas Alabama -19.5Model Alabama by 15.9 | Florida State +19.5 | W | Florida State 36 - 50 Alabama |
| Kentucky at Texas A&M | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Texas A&M 91% | L | Vegas Texas A&M -17.5Model Texas A&M by 21.1 | Texas A&M -17.5 | L | Kentucky 31 - 21 Texas A&M |
| Miami (OH) at Cincinnati | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Cincinnati 79% | W | Vegas Cincinnati -16.5Model Cincinnati by 12.6 | Miami (OH) +16.5 | W | Miami (OH) 31 - 35 Cincinnati |
| SMU at Louisville | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | SMU 51% | L | Vegas Louisville -1.5Model SMU by 0.5 | SMU +1.5 | L | SMU 31 - 41 Louisville |
| USC at Rutgers | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | USC 84% | W | Vegas USC -22.5Model USC by 16.1 | Rutgers +22.5 | W | USC 42 - 35 Rutgers |
| UTEP at Michigan | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Michigan 97% | W | Vegas Michigan -34.5Model Michigan by 30.5 | UTEP +34.5 | L | UTEP 17 - 52 Michigan |
| Utah State at Utah | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Utah 94% | W | Vegas Utah -27.5Model Utah by 24.4 | Utah State +27.5 | L | Utah State 0 - 33 Utah |
| Ball State at Liberty | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 3:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Liberty 75% | W | Vegas Liberty -14.5Model Liberty by 10.8 | Ball State +14.5 | L | Ball State 15 - 51 Liberty |
| Louisiana Tech at Baylor | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 3:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Baylor 82% | W | Vegas Baylor -20.5Model Baylor by 14.6 | Louisiana Tech +20.5 | W | Louisiana Tech 19 - 36 Baylor |
| Stanford at Duke | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 3:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Duke 79% | W | Vegas Duke -10Model Duke by 12.8 | Duke -10 | W | Stanford 7 - 35 Duke |
| Western Kentucky at Indiana | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 3:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Indiana 98% | W | Vegas Indiana -44.5Model Indiana by 33.6 | Western Kentucky +44.5 | W | Western Kentucky 0 - 38 Indiana |
| Mississippi State at South Carolina | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 3:15 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | South Carolina 61% | L | Vegas South Carolina -4Model South Carolina by 4.2 | South Carolina -4 | L | Mississippi State 41 - 34 South Carolina |
| Charlotte at App State | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 5:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | App State 85% | W | Vegas App State -17.5Model App State by 16.5 | Charlotte +17.5 | W | Charlotte 21 - 26 App State |
| East Carolina at Old Dominion | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 5:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Old Dominion 56% | L | Vegas Old Dominion -3Model Old Dominion by 2.4 | East Carolina +3 | W | East Carolina 20 - 17 Old Dominion |
| Florida International at Florida Atlantic | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 5:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Florida International 55% | L | Vegas Florida Atlantic -6.5Model Florida International by 2.0 | Florida International +6.5 | W | Florida International 10 - 16 Florida Atlantic |
| Marshall at Missouri State | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 5:30 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Marshall 51% | W | Vegas Marshall -4Model Marshall by 0.4 | Missouri State +4 | L | Marshall 30 - 24 Missouri State |
| Florida at Auburn | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Florida 55% | W | Vegas Florida -2.5Model Florida by 2.1 | Auburn +2.5 | L | Florida 44 - 39 Auburn |
| Georgia Southern at Jacksonville State | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Jacksonville State 59% | W | Vegas Jacksonville State -3.5Model Jacksonville State by 3.6 | Jacksonville State -3.5 | W | Georgia Southern 27 - 31 Jacksonville State |
| Georgia State at UCF | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | UCF 77% | W | Vegas UCF -17.5Model UCF by 11.9 | Georgia State +17.5 | W | Georgia State 30 - 44 UCF |
| Nevada at Middle Tennessee | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Middle Tennessee 56% | W | Vegas Nevada -3.5Model Middle Tennessee by 2.5 | Middle Tennessee +3.5 | W | Nevada 20 - 27 Middle Tennessee |
| Ohio at South Alabama | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | South Alabama 60% | W | Vegas South Alabama -7Model South Alabama by 4.0 | Ohio +7 | W | Ohio 36 - 41 South Alabama |
| Troy at Missouri | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Missouri 92% | W | Vegas Missouri -27.5Model Missouri by 22.6 | Troy +27.5 | W | Troy 17 - 27 Missouri |
| UConn at Southern Miss | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Southern Miss 54% | L | Vegas UConn -3Model Southern Miss by 1.7 | Southern Miss +3 | L | UConn 48 - 20 Southern Miss |
| Western Michigan at Rice | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Western Michigan 71% | W | Vegas Western Michigan -9.5Model Western Michigan by 8.8 | Rice +9.5 | W | Western Michigan 28 - 21 Rice |
| BYU at Colorado State | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | BYU 81% | W | Vegas BYU -17.5Model BYU by 13.8 | Colorado State +17.5 | L | BYU 41 - 23 Colorado State |
| Colorado at Northwestern | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Northwestern 75% | W | Vegas Northwestern -3.5Model Northwestern by 10.8 | Northwestern -3.5 | W | Colorado 7 - 41 Northwestern |
| LSU at Ole Miss | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Ole Miss 73% | W | Vegas LSU -3Model Ole Miss by 9.7 | Ole Miss +3 | W | LSU 24 - 32 Ole Miss |
| Michigan State at Notre Dame | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Notre Dame 91% | W | Vegas Notre Dame -29.5Model Notre Dame by 20.9 | Michigan State +29.5 | W | Michigan State 10 - 27 Notre Dame |
| New Mexico at Oklahoma | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Oklahoma 85% | W | Vegas Oklahoma -21.5Model Oklahoma by 16.5 | New Mexico +21.5 | W | New Mexico 6 - 14 Oklahoma |
| Virginia Tech at Maryland | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Maryland 54% | L | Vegas Virginia Tech -3Model Maryland by 1.7 | Maryland +3 | L | Virginia Tech 35 - 26 Maryland |
| West Virginia vs Virginia | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Virginia 76% | L | Vegas Virginia -10.5Model Virginia by 11.4 | Virginia -10.5 | L | West Virginia 38 - 27 Virginia |
| Kennesaw State at Tennessee | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 6:45 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Tennessee 96% | W | Vegas Tennessee -35.5Model Tennessee by 28.6 | Kennesaw State +35.5 | W | Kennesaw State 9 - 42 Tennessee |
| Arkansas State at TCU | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 7:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | TCU 82% | W | Vegas TCU -19.5Model TCU by 14.4 | Arkansas State +19.5 | L | Arkansas State 7 - 31 TCU |
| UAB at Louisiana | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 7:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Louisiana 62% | W | Vegas Louisiana -7.5Model Louisiana by 5.0 | UAB +7.5 | W | UAB 14 - 21 Louisiana |
| UTSA at Texas | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 7:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Texas 89% | W | Vegas Texas -30.5Model Texas by 19.6 | UTSA +30.5 | W | UTSA 6 - 30 Texas |
| James Madison at San Diego State | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 9:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | James Madison 53% | W | Vegas San Diego State -1.5Model James Madison by 1.0 | James Madison +1.5 | W | James Madison 26 - 13 San Diego State |
| North Dakota State at Sacramento State | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 9:30 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | North Dakota State 67% | W | Vegas North Dakota State -27.5Model North Dakota State by 6.9 | Sacramento State +27.5 | W | North Dakota State 31 - 10 Sacramento State |
| Northern Illinois at Arizona | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 9:30 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Arizona 97% | W | Vegas Arizona -33.5Model Arizona by 30.9 | Northern Illinois +33.5 | W | Northern Illinois 17 - 42 Arizona |
| Fresno State at San José State | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 10:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | Fresno State 71% | W | Vegas Fresno State -6.5Model Fresno State by 8.9 | Fresno State -6.5 | W | Fresno State 26 - 10 San José State |
| Purdue at UCLA | Kickoff Sat 19 Sep, 10:00 PMFrozen Thu 17 Sep, 5:38 PM | UCLA 73% | W | Vegas UCLA -14Model UCLA by 9.6 | Purdue +14 | Push | Purdue 38 - 52 UCLA |
Week 2
Straight up38-11Spread27-22-0
| Picking the winner | Against the spread | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game | When (CT) | Pick | Result | Lines at freeze | Pick | Result | Final |
| Rutgers at Boston College | Kickoff Fri 11 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | Rutgers 50% | L | Vegas Boston College -3.5Model Pick'em | Rutgers +3.5 | L | Rutgers 21 - 28 Boston College |
| Missouri at Kansas | Kickoff Fri 11 Sep, 7:00 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:46 PM | Missouri 67% | W | Vegas Missouri -6.5Model Missouri by 6.9 | Missouri -6.5 | W | Missouri 38 - 21 Kansas |
| App State at East Carolina | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | East Carolina 67% | L | Vegas East Carolina -10Model East Carolina by 7.0 | App State +10 | W | App State 27 - 24 East Carolina |
| Arizona State at Texas A&M | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | Texas A&M 83% | W | Vegas Texas A&M -14.5Model Texas A&M by 14.9 | Texas A&M -14.5 | W | Arizona State 20 - 48 Texas A&M |
| Oklahoma at Michigan | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | Michigan 53% | W | Vegas Oklahoma -1.5Model Michigan by 1.4 | Michigan +1.5 | W | Oklahoma 10 - 17 Michigan |
| Old Dominion at Virginia Tech | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | Virginia Tech 54% | W | Vegas Virginia Tech -14.5Model Virginia Tech by 1.6 | Old Dominion +14.5 | L | Old Dominion 21 - 44 Virginia Tech |
| Oregon at Oklahoma State | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | Oregon 94% | L | Vegas Oregon -19.5Model Oregon by 24.2 | Oregon -19.5 | L | Oregon 31 - 39 Oklahoma State |
| Penn State at Temple | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | Penn State 82% | W | Vegas Penn State -21.5Model Penn State by 14.8 | Temple +21.5 | W | Penn State 27 - 9 Temple |
| South Florida at Army | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | South Florida 52% | W | Vegas Army -1.5Model South Florida by 0.8 | South Florida +1.5 | W | South Florida 28 - 24 Army |
| Wake Forest at Purdue | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | Wake Forest 63% | W | Vegas Wake Forest -3.5Model Wake Forest by 5.2 | Wake Forest -3.5 | L | Wake Forest 38 - 36 Purdue |
| Washington State at Kansas State | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | Kansas State 60% | W | Vegas Kansas State -16.5Model Kansas State by 4.2 | Washington State +16.5 | L | Washington State 7 - 34 Kansas State |
| Western Kentucky at Georgia | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 11:45 AMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | Georgia 96% | W | Vegas Georgia -35.5Model Georgia by 27.9 | Western Kentucky +35.5 | L | Western Kentucky 20 - 70 Georgia |
| Alabama at Kentucky | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | Alabama 77% | W | Vegas Alabama -10.5Model Alabama by 11.6 | Alabama -10.5 | W | Alabama 45 - 17 Kentucky |
| Arizona at BYU | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | BYU 65% | W | Vegas BYU -7Model BYU by 6.0 | Arizona +7 | L | Arizona 17 - 28 BYU |
| California at Syracuse | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | California 52% | W | Vegas California -1.5Model California by 0.9 | Syracuse +1.5 | L | California 21 - 18 Syracuse |
| Duke at Illinois | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | Illinois 65% | L | Vegas Illinois -8.5Model Illinois by 6.0 | Duke +8.5 | W | Duke 31 - 27 Illinois |
| Eastern Michigan at Michigan State | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | Michigan State 82% | W | Vegas Michigan State -16.5Model Michigan State by 14.7 | Eastern Michigan +16.5 | L | Eastern Michigan 7 - 35 Michigan State |
| Maryland at UConn | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | UConn 62% | L | Vegas Maryland -12.5Model UConn by 4.8 | UConn +12.5 | L | Maryland 38 - 14 UConn |
| Mississippi State at Minnesota | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | Minnesota 67% | L | Vegas Minnesota -2.5Model Minnesota by 6.8 | Minnesota -2.5 | L | Mississippi State 38 - 13 Minnesota |
| Rice at Notre Dame | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | Notre Dame 98% | W | Vegas Notre Dame -44.5Model Notre Dame by 32.4 | Rice +44.5 | L | Rice 0 - 52 Notre Dame |
| UCF at Pittsburgh | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | Pittsburgh 68% | W | Vegas Pittsburgh -8.5Model Pittsburgh by 7.5 | UCF +8.5 | W | UCF 7 - 12 Pittsburgh |
| UL Monroe at UAB | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | UAB 69% | W | Vegas UAB -7.5Model UAB by 8.1 | UAB -7.5 | L | UL Monroe 20 - 26 UAB |
| UTSA at Texas State | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | Texas State 66% | L | Vegas Texas State -1.5Model Texas State by 6.5 | Texas State -1.5 | L | UTSA 31 - 26 Texas State |
| Utah State at Washington | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | Washington 86% | W | Vegas Washington -24.5Model Washington by 17.2 | Utah State +24.5 | W | Utah State 14 - 16 Washington |
| UNLV at North Texas | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 2:45 PMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | North Texas 72% | W | Vegas UNLV -6.5Model North Texas by 9.5 | North Texas +6.5 | W | UNLV 6 - 44 North Texas |
| Delaware at Vanderbilt | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 3:15 PMFrozen Sat 5 Sep, 4:46 PM | Vanderbilt 93% | W | Vegas Vanderbilt -21.5Model Vanderbilt by 23.6 | Vanderbilt -21.5 | L | Delaware 26 - 35 Vanderbilt |
| Buffalo at Florida International | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 5:00 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | Florida International 65% | W | Vegas Florida International -10.5Model Florida International by 6.1 | Buffalo +10.5 | L | Buffalo 20 - 33 Florida International |
| Jacksonville State at Ohio | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 5:00 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | Ohio 65% | W | Vegas Ohio -2.5Model Ohio by 5.9 | Ohio -2.5 | L | Jacksonville State 27 - 29 Ohio |
| Memphis at Boise State | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 5:00 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | Boise State 73% | W | Vegas Boise State -7.5Model Boise State by 9.8 | Boise State -7.5 | W | Memphis 20 - 38 Boise State |
| Bowling Green at Nebraska | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | Nebraska 96% | W | Vegas Nebraska -28.5Model Nebraska by 27.4 | Bowling Green +28.5 | L | Bowling Green 7 - 56 Nebraska |
| Georgia State at Kennesaw State | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | Kennesaw State 64% | L | Vegas Kennesaw State -8.5Model Kennesaw State by 5.6 | Georgia State +8.5 | W | Georgia State 31 - 17 Kennesaw State |
| Middle Tennessee at Marshall | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | Marshall 65% | W | Vegas Marshall -14Model Marshall by 6.2 | Middle Tennessee +14 | W | Middle Tennessee 26 - 28 Marshall |
| South Alabama at Tulane | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | Tulane 65% | W | Vegas Tulane -9.5Model Tulane by 6.3 | South Alabama +9.5 | W | South Alabama 24 - 28 Tulane |
| Tennessee at Georgia Tech | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | Tennessee 67% | W | Vegas Tennessee -12.5Model Tennessee by 6.9 | Georgia Tech +12.5 | L | Tennessee 45 - 24 Georgia Tech |
| Tulsa at Sam Houston | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | Tulsa 61% | W | Vegas Tulsa -13.5Model Tulsa by 4.4 | Sam Houston +13.5 | W | Tulsa 23 - 17 Sam Houston |
| San Diego State at UCLA | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 6:15 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | San Diego State 51% | L | Vegas UCLA -11.5Model San Diego State by 0.4 | San Diego State +11.5 | L | San Diego State 10 - 28 UCLA |
| Georgia Southern at Clemson | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | Clemson 82% | W | Vegas Clemson -21Model Clemson by 14.7 | Georgia Southern +21 | W | Georgia Southern 7 - 22 Clemson |
| Iowa State at Iowa | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | Iowa 75% | W | Vegas Iowa -14.5Model Iowa by 10.7 | Iowa State +14.5 | W | Iowa State 13 - 16 Iowa |
| Louisiana Tech at LSU | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | LSU 85% | W | Vegas LSU -34.5Model LSU by 16.2 | Louisiana Tech +34.5 | W | Louisiana Tech 14 - 45 LSU |
| Navy at Florida Atlantic | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | Navy 62% | L | Vegas Navy -5.5Model Navy by 5.0 | Florida Atlantic +5.5 | W | Navy 30 - 38 Florida Atlantic |
| Ohio State at Texas | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | Ohio State 61% | L | Vegas Texas -1.5Model Ohio State by 4.6 | Ohio State +1.5 | W | Ohio State 23 - 24 Texas |
| Texas Tech at Oregon State | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | Texas Tech 91% | W | Vegas Texas Tech -26.5Model Texas Tech by 21.6 | Oregon State +26.5 | W | Texas Tech 35 - 24 Oregon State |
| Charlotte at Ole Miss | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 6:45 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | Ole Miss 99% | W | Vegas Ole Miss -47.5Model Ole Miss by 39.0 | Charlotte +47.5 | W | Charlotte 9 - 41 Ole Miss |
| Southern Miss at Auburn | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 6:45 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | Auburn 80% | W | Vegas Auburn -33.5Model Auburn by 13.6 | Southern Miss +33.5 | L | Southern Miss 8 - 43 Auburn |
| North Dakota State at Air Force | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 9:00 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | North Dakota State 62% | W | Vegas North Dakota State -3Model North Dakota State by 4.9 | North Dakota State -3 | W | North Dakota State 38 - 32 Air Force |
| Arkansas at Utah | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 9:15 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | Utah 90% | W | Vegas Utah -13.5Model Utah by 20.7 | Utah -13.5 | W | Arkansas 10 - 43 Utah |
| Sacramento State at Fresno State | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 9:30 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | Fresno State 75% | W | Vegas Fresno State -18.5Model Fresno State by 10.6 | Sacramento State +18.5 | L | Sacramento State 3 - 49 Fresno State |
| Louisiana at USC | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 10:00 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | USC 97% | W | Vegas USC -31.5Model USC by 29.1 | Louisiana +31.5 | W | Louisiana 30 - 49 USC |
| New Mexico State at Hawai'i | Kickoff Sat 12 Sep, 10:59 PMFrozen Mon 7 Sep, 12:48 PM | Hawai'i 73% | W | Vegas Hawai'i -9.5Model Hawai'i by 9.7 | Hawai'i -9.5 | W | New Mexico State 19 - 29 Hawai'i |
Week 1
Straight up34-5Spread16-21-2
| Picking the winner | Against the spread | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Game | When (CT) | Pick | Result | Lines at freeze | Pick | Result | Final |
| San José State at Eastern Michigan | Kickoff Fri 4 Sep, 5:30 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Eastern Michigan 72% | L | Vegas Eastern Michigan -3Model Eastern Michigan by 9.3 | Eastern Michigan -3 | L | San José State 27 - 21 Eastern Michigan |
| Toledo at Michigan State | Kickoff Fri 4 Sep, 7:00 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Michigan State 51% | W | Vegas Michigan State -10Model Michigan State by 0.6 | Toledo +10 | Push | Toledo 20 - 30 Michigan State |
| UTEP at Oklahoma | Kickoff Fri 4 Sep, 7:00 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Oklahoma 97% | W | Vegas Oklahoma -40.5Model Oklahoma by 30.1 | UTEP +40.5 | L | UTEP 0 - 51 Oklahoma |
| Fresno State at USC | Kickoff Fri 4 Sep, 8:00 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | USC 86% | W | Vegas USC -22.5Model USC by 17.0 | Fresno State +22.5 | L | Fresno State 0 - 39 USC |
| Miami at Stanford | Kickoff Fri 4 Sep, 8:00 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Miami 87% | W | Vegas Miami -24.5Model Miami by 17.6 | Stanford +24.5 | L | Miami 45 - 6 Stanford |
| Coastal Carolina at West Virginia | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | West Virginia 83% | W | Vegas West Virginia -21Model West Virginia by 15.0 | Coastal Carolina +21 | W | Coastal Carolina 24 - 31 West Virginia |
| East Carolina at Alabama | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Alabama 92% | W | Vegas Alabama -27.5Model Alabama by 21.9 | East Carolina +27.5 | L | East Carolina 10 - 48 Alabama |
| Liberty at James Madison | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | James Madison 87% | W | Vegas James Madison -6Model James Madison by 17.6 | James Madison -6 | W | Liberty 13 - 20 James Madison |
| North Texas at Indiana | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Indiana 92% | W | Vegas Indiana -40.5Model Indiana by 22.5 | North Texas +40.5 | W | North Texas 16 - 52 Indiana |
| Ohio at Nebraska | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Nebraska 74% | W | Vegas Nebraska -23.5Model Nebraska by 10.5 | Ohio +23.5 | L | Ohio 21 - 49 Nebraska |
| Oregon State at Houston | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 11:00 AMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Houston 86% | W | Vegas Houston -21Model Houston by 17.5 | Oregon State +21 | W | Oregon State 20 - 33 Houston |
| Ball State at Ohio State | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 11:30 AMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Ohio State 100% | W | Vegas Ohio State -50.5Model Ohio State by 45.4 | Ball State +50.5 | L | Ball State 3 - 56 Ohio State |
| Miami (OH) at Pittsburgh | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 11:30 AMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Pittsburgh 82% | W | Vegas Pittsburgh -16.5Model Pittsburgh by 14.4 | Miami (OH) +16.5 | L | Miami (OH) 14 - 59 Pittsburgh |
| Kent State at South Carolina | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 11:45 AMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | South Carolina 93% | W | Vegas South Carolina -35.5Model South Carolina by 24.0 | Kent State +35.5 | L | Kent State 0 - 57 South Carolina |
| Baylor vs Auburn | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Auburn 62% | W | Vegas Auburn -7.5Model Auburn by 4.7 | Baylor +7.5 | W | Baylor 16 - 17 Auburn |
| Boise State at Oregon | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Oregon 93% | W | Vegas Oregon -24.5Model Oregon by 23.4 | Boise State +24.5 | W | Boise State 27 - 34 Oregon |
| Boston College at Cincinnati | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Cincinnati 71% | W | Vegas Cincinnati -7.5Model Cincinnati by 8.6 | Cincinnati -7.5 | W | Boston College 15 - 34 Cincinnati |
| Marshall at Penn State | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Penn State 91% | W | Vegas Penn State -23.5Model Penn State by 21.5 | Marshall +23.5 | L | Marshall 0 - 45 Penn State |
| Texas State at Texas | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Texas 78% | W | Vegas Texas -29.5Model Texas by 12.4 | Texas State +29.5 | L | Texas State 7 - 59 Texas |
| Tulane at Duke | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 2:30 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Duke 68% | W | Vegas Duke -7.5Model Duke by 7.7 | Duke -7.5 | W | Tulane 3 - 17 Duke |
| Oklahoma State at Tulsa | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 2:45 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Tulsa 59% | W | Vegas Oklahoma State -13.5Model Tulsa by 3.7 | Tulsa +13.5 | W | Oklahoma State 10 - 24 Tulsa |
| Northern Illinois at Iowa | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 3:15 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Iowa 96% | W | Vegas Iowa -31.5Model Iowa by 27.4 | Northern Illinois +31.5 | L | Northern Illinois 0 - 40 Iowa |
| Wyoming at Colorado State | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 5:00 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Colorado State 66% | W | Vegas Colorado State -3Model Colorado State by 6.7 | Colorado State -3 | W | Wyoming 13 - 35 Colorado State |
| Arkansas State at Memphis | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Memphis 70% | W | Vegas Memphis -11.5Model Memphis by 8.5 | Arkansas State +11.5 | L | Arkansas State 24 - 42 Memphis |
| Florida International at South Florida | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | South Florida 78% | W | Vegas South Florida -14.5Model South Florida by 12.2 | Florida International +14.5 | W | Florida International 9 - 19 South Florida |
| Missouri State at Texas A&M | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Texas A&M 97% | W | Vegas Texas A&M -40.5Model Texas A&M by 31.1 | Missouri State +40.5 | L | Missouri State 0 - 50 Texas A&M |
| Sam Houston at Troy | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 6:00 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Troy 82% | W | Vegas Troy -16.5Model Troy by 14.8 | Sam Houston +16.5 | W | Sam Houston 21 - 24 Troy |
| Clemson at LSU | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | LSU 53% | W | Vegas LSU -10Model LSU by 1.4 | Clemson +10 | L | Clemson 10 - 51 LSU |
| UL Monroe at Mississippi State | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Mississippi State 89% | W | Vegas Mississippi State -28.5Model Mississippi State by 19.6 | UL Monroe +28.5 | L | UL Monroe 13 - 62 Mississippi State |
| Western Michigan at Michigan | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Michigan 86% | W | Vegas Michigan -27.5Model Michigan by 17.4 | Western Michigan +27.5 | W | Western Michigan 12 - 13 Michigan |
| Florida Atlantic at Florida | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 6:45 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Florida 88% | W | Vegas Florida -26.5Model Florida by 18.6 | Florida Atlantic +26.5 | L | Florida Atlantic 21 - 66 Florida |
| Central Michigan at New Mexico | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 9:00 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | New Mexico 77% | W | Vegas New Mexico -10.5Model New Mexico by 11.6 | New Mexico -10.5 | W | Central Michigan 7 - 38 New Mexico |
| UNLV at Hawai'i | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 9:00 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Hawai'i 57% | L | Vegas UNLV -3Model Hawai'i by 2.6 | Hawai'i +3 | L | UNLV 21 - 6 Hawai'i |
| UCLA at California | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 9:30 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | California 58% | L | Vegas UCLA -2.5Model California by 3.2 | California +2.5 | L | UCLA 45 - 24 California |
| Western Kentucky at Nevada | Kickoff Sat 5 Sep, 9:30 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Western Kentucky 56% | L | Vegas Western Kentucky -1.5Model Western Kentucky by 2.3 | Western Kentucky -1.5 | L | Western Kentucky 14 - 49 Nevada |
| Washington State at Washington | Kickoff Sun 6 Sep, 3:00 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Washington 76% | W | Vegas Washington -23.5Model Washington by 11.2 | Washington State +23.5 | W | Washington State 10 - 24 Washington |
| Louisville vs Ole Miss | Kickoff Sun 6 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Ole Miss 78% | W | Vegas Ole Miss -6.5Model Ole Miss by 12.5 | Ole Miss -6.5 | L | Louisville 38 - 41 Ole Miss |
| Wisconsin vs Notre Dame | Kickoff Sun 6 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Notre Dame 92% | W | Vegas Notre Dame -20.5Model Notre Dame by 22.1 | Notre Dame -20.5 | W | Wisconsin 13 - 41 Notre Dame |
| SMU at Florida State | Kickoff Mon 7 Sep, 6:30 PMFrozen Fri 4 Sep, 10:03 AM | Florida State 58% | L | Vegas SMU -3Model Florida State by 3.2 | Florida State +3 | Push | SMU 27 - 24 Florida State |
How the record works
- Each pick is frozen into an append-only log once kickoff is within seven days and a Vegas line exists. It is never rewritten. The log began 4 Sep 2026.
- Every frozen game is graded. Nothing gets dropped as "not really a play".
- Spread picks are graded at the line frozen with them, not the closing line. A game landing exactly on the number is a push.
- Only games between two FBS teams are covered. Games without a frozen pick, because they were played before the log began or no line was posted in time, are not counted.