Power Ratings
The model's top 25 entering week 7, through week 6's games, and its playoff odds. Updated 11 Oct 2026.
Top 25
Rating is how many points better than an average FBS team, on a neutral field. "Last week" compares with the ratings entering week 6.
| Rank | Team | Conference | Rating | Last week | Proj. wins | Playoff | Conf. title |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Indiana | Big Ten | 25.7 | Same | 10.9 | 89% | 57% |
| 2 | Ohio State | Big Ten | 24.4 | Same | 9.6 | 85% | 33% |
| 3 | Notre Dame | Independent | 23.3 | Up 2 | 10.7 | 79% | n/a |
| 4 | Georgia | SEC | 22.5 | Same | 11.2 | 96% | 90% |
| 5 | Miami | ACC | 21.8 | Down 2 | 11.0 | 94% | 95% |
| 6 | Texas Tech | Big 12 | 18.9 | Up 1 | 10.5 | 54% | 47% |
| 7 | Alabama | SEC | 18.7 | Up 1 | 9.7 | 69% | 5% |
| 8 | Oregon | Big Ten | 18.4 | Down 2 | 7.9 | 7% | 1% |
| 9 | Utah | Big 12 | 18.3 | Same | 10.2 | 51% | 24% |
| 10 | Texas | SEC | 16.7 | Same | 8.7 | 74% | 1% |
| 11 | BYU | Big 12 | 16.0 | Up 1 | 9.9 | 62% | 23% |
| 12 | Ole Miss | SEC | 15.9 | Up 1 | 8.3 | 21% | 1% |
| 13 | James Madison | Sun Belt | 15.7 | Down 2 | 11.1 | 60% | 85% |
| 14 | Iowa | Big Ten | 15.4 | Same | 8.9 | 21% | 1% |
| 15 | Missouri | SEC | 14.4 | Up 3 | 8.2 | 24% | 1% |
| 16 | USC | Big Ten | 14.2 | Down 1 | 8.4 | 44% | 1% |
| 17 | Arizona | Big 12 | 13.8 | Same | 8.7 | 17% | 1% |
| 18 | Oklahoma | SEC | 13.3 | Up 2 | 7.0 | 17% | 0% |
| 19 | LSU | SEC | 13.0 | Down 3 | 7.7 | 8% | 0% |
| 20 | Tennessee | SEC | 12.8 | Down 1 | 8.5 | 24% | 1% |
| 21 | Boise State | Pac-12 | 12.4 | Up 3 | 8.9 | 16% | 72% |
| 22 | Houston | Big 12 | 12.4 | Up 6 | 9.2 | 16% | 2% |
| 23 | Wake Forest | ACC | 11.5 | Up 12 | 9.3 | 16% | 2% |
| 24 | SMU | ACC | 11.2 | Down 1 | 8.3 | 3% | 1% |
| 25 | Texas A&M | SEC | 10.8 | Down 4 | 5.8 | 0% | 0% |
Playoff odds
The 16 likeliest playoff teams, from simulating the rest of the season with the 12-team format (five conference champions, seven at-large). The selection stand-in uses record and schedule strength only, so it can't see head-to-head results or how good a loss was.
| Team | Conference | Playoff | Conf. title | Proj. wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia | SEC | 96% | 90% | 11.2 |
| Miami | ACC | 94% | 95% | 11.1 |
| Indiana | Big Ten | 89% | 57% | 10.9 |
| Ohio State | Big Ten | 85% | 33% | 9.7 |
| Notre Dame | Independent | 79% | n/a | 10.7 |
| Texas | SEC | 74% | 1% | 8.8 |
| Alabama | SEC | 69% | 5% | 9.7 |
| BYU | Big 12 | 62% | 23% | 10.0 |
| James Madison | Sun Belt | 60% | 85% | 11.1 |
| Texas Tech | Big 12 | 54% | 47% | 10.5 |
| Utah | Big 12 | 51% | 24% | 10.2 |
| UCLA | Big Ten | 50% | 4% | 9.7 |
| USC | Big Ten | 44% | 1% | 8.4 |
| Tennessee | SEC | 24% | 1% | 8.5 |
| Missouri | SEC | 24% | 1% | 8.2 |
| Iowa | Big Ten | 21% | 1% | 9.0 |